2026 Tennessee football: Updated record projection after Week 7

No. 14 Tennessee (6-1, 3-1 SEC) defeated No. 7 Alabama (5-2, 3-2 SEC), 26-10, at Neyland Stadium in Week 7.

Visit mchezo.life for more information.

Tennessee's home schedule in 2026 consists of games against Furman (W, 56-9), Kennesaw State (W, 42-9), Texas (L, 20-17), Auburn (W, 24-14), Alabama (W, 26-10), Kentucky and LSU, while playing at Georgia Tech (W, 45-24), Arkansas (W, 24-17), South Carolina, Texas A&M and Vanderbilt.

Below is Tennessee's 2026 football schedule, along with updated game-by-game win percentage chances from ESPN's Matchup Predictor after Week 7. The Vols' updated strength of schedule and record projection are also listed below.

More: 2026 SEC football power rankings after Week 7

2026 Week 7 - Tennessee football updated win percentage chances each game

DateOpponentResult/win % chanceSept. 5Furman (Knoxville, Tennessee)W, 56-9Sept. 12Georgia Tech (Atlanta, Georgia)W, 45-24Sept. 19Kennesaw State (Knoxville, Tennessee)W, 42-9Sept. 26Texas (Knoxville, Tennessee)L, 20-17Oct. 3Auburn (Knoxville, Tennessee)W, 24-14Oct. 10Arkansas (Fayetteville, Arkansas)W, 24-17Oct. 17Alabama (Knoxville, Tennessee)W, 26-10Oct. 24South Carolina (Columbia, South Carolina)59.9%Oct. 31Open dateNov. 7Kentucky (Knoxville, Tennessee)71.0%Nov. 14Texas A&M (College Station, Texas)55.8%Nov. 21LSU (Knoxville, Tennessee)42.3%Nov. 28Vanderbilt (Nashville, Tennessee)87.4%

Tennessee football's strength of schedule, record projection after Week 7

Following Week 7, Tennessee is up one spot to No. 12 overall in ESPN's FPI rankings. The Vols are projected to finish their regular season with a 9.2-3.0 record after a 7.3-4.7 preseason record projection.

Tennessee also has a 10.3% chance to win the SEC, 45.4% chance to make the College Football Playoff and a 1.7% chance to win a national title after Week 7.

Tennessee has the 23rd-hardest strength of schedule nationally and the 18th-hardest remaining strength of schedule. The Vols are ranked No. 19 nationally for game control and No. 7 for strength of record. Strength of record rankings reflect a chance that an average top 25 team would have a team's record or better, given the schedule.

Follow Vols Wire on Facebook and X (formerly Twitter).

This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: 2026 Tennessee football: Updated record projection after Week 7

Read full story at source